Liverpool’s £65m tag on Luis Diaz vs £150m for Florian Wirtz: True or False?

A lively debate broke out around two very different price tags: £65m for Liverpool’s Luis Diaz and £150m for Bayer Leverkusen’s Florian Wirtz. Strip away the noise and look at age curves, output per 90, roles, contract lengths and market scarcity. Diaz is a high-energy winger with strong ball-carrying, but inconsistent end product. Wirtz is a 21-year-old elite chance-creator driving the Bundesliga champions. The numbers, plus contract control and resale value, explain why one valuation stretches into the stratosphere while the other looks pragmatic. Here’s the evidence, the fan reaction, and what likely happens next.

The discussion ignited across football communities when a bold claim surfaced: Liverpool have hugely undervalued Luis Diaz at £65m while Florian Wirtz is being overvalued at £150m. Comments poured in from fans and pundits alike.

• Some argued Liverpool rate Cody Gakpo higher than Diaz.
• Others drew a Havertz parallel for Wirtz, suggesting stylistic risk at Premier League pace.
• Several insisted Diaz had long spells of underperformance at Anfield.
• A few pushed back, defending Diaz’s impact and Wirtz’s ceiling after Leverkusen’s title-winning season.

That mix of optimism, skepticism and humor framed the debate around two players at different stages of their development curve.

🚨‼️𝗧𝗥𝗨𝗘 𝗢𝗥 𝗙𝗔𝗟𝗦𝗘? Liverpool hugely UNDERVALUED Luis Diaz at £65mill and OVERVALUED Florian Wirtz at £150mill...

@ThaEuropeanLad

Impact Analysis

Start with age and contract. Diaz is 27 in the 2024-25 window and tied down with Liverpool until 2027. Wirtz is 21 with Leverkusen protected through at least 2027. Those two details alone swing expected value because peak-year runway and resale potential are core inputs in modern pricing models.

Production matters too. In 2023-24, Diaz delivered roughly mid-tier elite winger output for Liverpool: strong carries and pressing, uneven finishing, about 0.40-0.50 goal contributions per 90 across all competitions. Wirtz drove the Bundesliga champions with top 5 percent chance creation for his age group, double-digit goals and assists in all comps, and the league’s Player of the Season. His on-ball value is diversified: ball progression, final pass, and late-box arrivals. That portfolio commands a premium.

Role scarcity and replacement cost amplify the gap. Elite creative 10s who can also function as an off-side 8 or drifting second striker are rare. In England, you shop in the Bellingham, De Bruyne, Odegaard aisle, where entry fees start high. A two-footed, press-resistant creator with proven output in a title-winning system sits comfortably in a £130m-£160m band, particularly with no release clause and no seller pressure.

For Diaz, £65m aligns with a mature winger’s market band when the output is good-not-great and the finishing swings hot and cold. You pay for immediate impact, not a 6-year runway. Verdict: Wirtz at £150m is aggressive but defensible. Diaz at £65m is pragmatic, not undercut.

Reaction

Fan sentiment split fast. One camp insisted Liverpool were sleeping on Diaz’s value, pointing to his work rate and knack for big moments. The counter fired back just as quickly: he dribbles past men, then the final ball evaporates. That tension has defined Diaz’s Anfield narrative since 2022.

The Gakpo subplot popped up repeatedly. Some argued the club internally rates Gakpo’s box movement and finishing higher. Others shrugged that comparison off as a distraction, saying the question is Diaz’s price today, not the pecking order yesterday.

On Wirtz, the Havertz analogy surfaced. Caution flags about adapting creative 10s to Premier League tempo are fair, but the responses reminded everyone Wirtz’s underlying numbers and decision speed are a tier above Havertz’s pre-London profile. Leverkusen’s unbeaten title and his Player of the Season nod shifted many neutrals to the pro-Wirtz side.

There was also a streak of gallows humor. A few Liverpool fans quipped that labeling Diaz undervalued is rich when the team’s chance conversion has been an issue. Others doubled down that discrediting Lucho is lazy and misses his structural value out of possession.

Net sentiment: cautious respect for Wirtz’s tag, pragmatic acceptance of Diaz’s band, and endless quibbles over sample size and role fit.

Social reactions

It's still too early to judge, but you might be correct

Buzy (@digitalbuzy)

Luis Diaz wasn’t performing at Liverpool

Lovecentral(FAN) (@Lovecentrol)

True: We are ass False are those who discredit Lucho

ZeusLFC (@LFCAT007)

Prediction

Base case - Wirtz stays put through at least another window. Leverkusen have leverage, a winning project, and zero financial pressure. A sale only happens at triple digits to a Champions League lock with a defined role plan. Real Madrid and Manchester City profile best, but both move when fit and price are perfect. Probability 55 percent stay short term, revisit 2026.

Transfer case - If an English giant or Madrid test the waters near £150m, Leverkusen will push for structure: large guaranteed fee, achievable add-ons tied to Champions League minutes and team outcomes, and a sell-on. The club will also want to avoid a late-summer scramble. Probability 35 percent that a pre-agreement emerges a window early.

Diaz trajectory - Under a manager who prizes vertical wingers and front-foot pressing, Diaz’s output can tick up if shot quality improves and the final ball is simplified. That moves his fair value into a £70m-£80m lane. But age caps the upside. Probability 60 percent he stays and stabilizes, 25 percent a La Liga move reopens if a Spanish giant matches wage and fit, 15 percent other.

Market read - Expect fees to remain top-heavy for rare creators. Wirtz’s price becomes the reference point for the next two summers.

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Conclusion

Strip away noise and anchor on first principles. Value is age curve plus output plus scarcity plus control. Diaz at £65m sits right where the market lands for a high-energy winger with mixed end product and two-plus years of contract. Could Liverpool ask for £75m from a need-driven buyer in Spain or England? Sure. But £65m is not a giveaway, it’s the midpoint.

Wirtz at £150m is not a fantasy number. It reflects a 21-year-old centerpiece who carried chance creation for an unbeaten league winner, with multi-role flexibility and strong durability signals post-ACL recovery. Leverkusen’s stance, contract security, and a thin global supply of true elite creators keep the floor painfully high.

So, true or false? Diaz hugely undervalued - false. Wirtz overvalued - also false. One is a mature asset priced for today. The other is a premium asset priced for tomorrow and the five seasons after it. If anything, Wirtz is the benchmark that will set the tone for the next wave of top-end deals.